Protein Structure Prediction
Protein structure prediction estimates 3D coordinates or structural constraints from sequence and optional context such as evolutionary information, templates, or learned representations.
A simplified sequence-to-structure view is:
where is the residue sequence, is optional context, and or atom-level coordinates are predicted.
Geometry losses often compare pairwise distances:
Predictions can target different levels:
- contact map or distance map
- backbone coordinates
- all-atom coordinates
- confidence or error estimates
- complex or multimer structure
- pocket or binding-site geometry
The target choice changes evaluation. A good contact map does not imply all-atom pose quality, and a good backbone does not imply ligand-ready side-chain placement.
Prediction Levels
| Target | Output | Evidence needed |
|---|---|---|
| contact map | binary residue-pair contact | precision/recall by sequence separation |
| distance map | pairwise distances or bins | distance error and calibration |
| backbone | , , , coordinates | RMSD/TM-like structural agreement and local geometry |
| all-atom | backbone plus side chains | rotamer quality, clashes, bond geometry |
| confidence | per-residue or pairwise uncertainty | calibration against actual error |
| complex | multimer or protein-ligand/protein-protein arrangement | interface quality, chain mapping, partner leakage checks |
Coordinate Contract
Coordinate predictions should state what transforms are irrelevant:
Global rotation and translation should not change the structural claim. If the model predicts vectors, forces, or coordinate updates, the output should transform equivariantly; if it predicts confidence or a scalar score, the output should be invariant.
Downstream Boundary
| Downstream use | Extra requirement |
|---|---|
| docking | side-chain placement, pocket geometry, missing atoms, protonation states |
| binder or complex modeling | interface orientation, chain identity, template leakage control |
| function prediction | active-site residues, cofactors, conformational state |
| protein design | foldability and sequence-structure compatibility |
| representation learning | split-aware downstream evaluation, not only structure similarity |
Checks
- Is the target backbone, all-atom structure, contact map, distance map, or confidence score?
- Does training or evaluation use templates that may leak test structures?
- Are missing residues, alternate conformations, chain breaks, and ligands handled?
- Is structure cleaning and residue indexing consistent between train and evaluation?
- Is downstream use docking, design, function prediction, or representation transfer?
- Is the confidence estimate calibrated to the reported error?
- Are monomer, multimer, and ligand-bound claims evaluated separately?